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Macro (rates/inflation) still decides when investors can stretch valuations; commodities and platform software provide sector-level pockets of conviction. April 24, 2026

Markets remained guided by Fed expectations and rate moves. Two Fed-related headlines — signals around holding rates steady and the DOJ dropping the Powell probe — removed political and policy uncertainty that had been denting sentiment, but the rate backdrop still determines which sector rallies can stick. Energy moved on supply/demand and geopolitical cues as oil eased on expected direct U.S.–Iran talks; that dynamic keeps commodity-exposed cyclicals in play. Software leadership stayed concentrated in high-quality platforms that combine durable cash generation with credible AI or workflow upgrade stories.

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